- Tram Ho
Eight years after the death of Steve Jobs, the name of the late Apple CEO continues to resound in discussions about the development of the technology sector.
Because since 1976, when co-founding Apple, Steve Jobs has opened a revolution in micro-computing, expanding his vision to the field of phones, tablets, music distribution, applications and many other things, helping to change the lives and experiences of users in the 21st century.
One of his favorite quotes is: “The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”
Steve Jobs also made many predictions about the future in the past. Much of this happened exactly as a prophecy. But sometimes he was also wrong.
“We will use computers at home, for fun”
In 1985, Steve Jobs shared with Playboy that the use of personal computers would spread to every house. At this time, computers are used primarily by companies, schools and some research institutions or businesses.
According to the US Census Bureau, in 1984 only 8% of households in the country had computers. In 2015, this number increased to 79%. Just as Jobs predicted, computers have become an entertainment source for millions of people, whether it’s watching movies or TV, playing games or texting friends.
“We will all be connected through computers.”
Also in the 1985 interview, Jobs explained the most compelling reason for people to buy a home computer is “to link it to a national media network.”
His comment came four years before Tim Berners-Lee’s pioneering work on developing the World Wide Web and five years before the first website was posted on the online network.
“It is much faster to perform all kinds of functions, such as cutting and pasting, with the mouse”
Before Apple launched a computer called Lisa in 1983, most personal computers required users to use the keyboard to type. When Jobs introduced his computer mouse, he performed all of the above commands intuitively. And it is also easy even for those who are less trained on computers.
Thirty-five years later, the mouse still has its own role but is gradually becoming alienated, thanks to new advances in touch screen technology, sought by Apple and other companies to change and popularize. on the phone.
“Dialing audio for web access will be available everywhere”
In an interview with Wired magazine in 1996, Jobs predicted that the web would be accepted and used by consumers around the globe.
We may have passed the age of relying on dial-up Internet access, but Jobs was right about talking about the popularity of the web. As of April 2019, an estimated 4.4 billion people worldwide use the Internet. That’s about 56% of the world population.
“You may not have to manage your own memory”
Long before we all started storing photos, videos and data in Apple’s Cloud or on Google Drive, Jobs emphasized the need to provide customers with new ways of distributing and storing.
He told the 1996 Wired magazine: “Storage management is a very important thing in the world of desktop computers. And that may disappear. You may not have to manage your own memory. ”
Jobs also said he didn’t store anything, despite using a lot of email and web. Even this CEO’s favorite reminder is to send an email to himself.
Apple’s strategy is to “put computers into a book”.
In 1983, most personal computers were large, heavy boxes placed in laboratories and factories. But at the International Design Conference speech, Jobs had a vision of something much more mobile. He talked about “a great computer, put in a book that you can take with you and can learn to use it in five minutes.”
In an interview with Newsweek later, he added: “I always thought it would be great to have a small box, a student board that you can take with you.”
At present, in 2019, what Jobs describes is very much like a tablet, Kindle or smart phones in your pocket.
“It will be as if a small person inside the box starts to predict what you want”
In an interview with Newsweek, Jobs described computers as “agents”, able to learn user preferences, store information, interact and learn how to predict our needs, become into what Jobs calls “a little friend in a box.”
Twenty-five years later, Alexa and Siri have appeared and become indispensable virtual assistants of millions of people. Joaquin Phoenix’s romance with a virtual AI assistant in the movie “Her” seems to be no longer a fantasy dream.
“People will stop going to a lot of stores and they will buy stuff on the web.”
In 1995, Jobs gave a speech to the Computer and Information Technology Award Foundation, where he stressed the biggest impact of the web will be felt in the field of commerce. He predicts how the Internet will allow small startups to cut distribution costs and compete with larger corporations, through direct dealings with consumers.
Today, millions of companies are trading on the Internet, from small specialist vendors to Amazon giants. He also warned about the price to pay if he didn’t change. In 1996, sharing with Wired magazine, he said: “People will stop going to the store. They will buy stuff on the web. Big companies that don’t pay attention to this change will be hurt. ”
Now, when looking at the closing status of Walmart stores while Amazon continues to earn billions of dollars in Internet sales, it cannot be said that they have not been warned by anyone.
‘People will get more information than they can receive’
In 1996, when consumers were still testing email sending and receiving, it seemed unbelievable that one day we would receive more information than we could handle. This is also what Steve Jobs warned about information overload, mentioned in an interview in Wired magazine in 1996.
Currently, an average American checks their phones 52 times a day, according to a survey conducted by Deloitte.
“You will get one of these when you’re 10 years old.”
One of Steve Jobs’ unbelievable predictions relates to the young market’s ability to absorb emerging technologies.
In an interview with Newsweek’s Access, he explained: “You will get one of these things when you are 10 years old and somehow you turn it on and it will say, you know, ‘Where am I? ? ‘. And somehow it tells you that you are in California. ”
And a study by Influence Central reported that the average age an American child received their first phone is now 10.3 years old.
“There will be many innovations in the software field but not hardware.”
This is one of Steve Jobs’s inaccurate predictions, which he launched in 1983. At that time, Apple’s biggest rival in PC manufacturing was IBM.
“Most new companies are focusing on software innovation. I think there will be many innovations in the software field but not hardware. ”
Today, the piece of software in the field of software is shared by three big names – Microsoft, Apple and Google – while the hardware war is taking place with Samsung, Dell, HP, Acer and other competitors. This is one of the things that Jobs was wrong.
“Is the web going to change lives for millions of people? Is not!”
Jobs was wrong to say this. Or, he was just trying to prove humble when he answered with such Wired in 1996.
“Web will be very important. But is this something that will change the lives of millions of people? Is not. I mean it is possible, but it is not something that can be guaranteed at this point. It will definitely not be the same as when someone first watches TV, or listens to the radio. It will not be so profound. ”
But now, how many of us rely on the web every day to serve the needs of commerce, social interaction, entertainment, knowledge and news.
Source : cafebiz